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Sunday, February 3, 2013

Blog #1 Increasing Returns



Over the past two decades we have seen an explosion of new technology around the world. With this new era has come the uprising of knowledge based industries. For so long the world has been accustomed to production being defined by physical goods like soy beans or lumber and with this the law of diminishing returns has applied. As the production of knowledge based products began to rise, it became apparent that the idea of diminishing returns could not be applied to this new area of production.
        The principle of increasing returns is the idea that a product will continue to profit as sales grow. Unlike a regular commodity, having to produce more because of increased sales does not hinder the producer. Also, a knowledge based product has the ability to keep consumers loyalty much easier because of the effort a user must put forth to become comfortable using that product. A product with diminishing returns could pull consumers loyal to other producers by simply lowering the price of their product. Fear of a new company emerging or a cheaper version being released is not as much of a concern for producers of knowledge based products like it is with a product under decreasing returns. A user exerts much effort and time to become familiar with a certain system; this investment is what keeps a consumer from jumping from one manufacture to another.
                Another large distinction between diminishing returns and increasing returns is with the production of new and better products. With a traditional product under diminishing returns, normally the newest and most improved product takes the place of older outdated products. This is not so with increasing returns. For example, if a new competitor to Twitter arises and it has a better layout, allows for the use of more characters, and is superior in every way, this does not guarantee success in the knowledge based market. According to NBCnews.com Twitter has 175 million users. This means that even if a superior “micro-blogging” site was created, no one would be using it and the chance that the new site would convert every Twitter user or reach 175 million new users is almost impossible. 
              Many believe this type of market creates a monopoly in every different sector. However, these “monopolies” are very different from the traditional monopolies of the past. A monopoly in an increasing return economy benefits the consumer but blocks new competition from creating a similar product. More options are available for the user but eventually competitors fade away because of lack of use. This is because the majority of consumers are using the dominate product. In a traditional monopoly the consumer only has one option which allows the business holding the monopoly to over charge and under deliver on service but in this situation the consumer has access to good pricing and quality products because the company on top wants to remain there.
                In conclusion, the landscape of products and the economy which surrounds them may be changing but in my opinion it is a welcomed one. While it is difficult to quantify an increasing returns market I don’t think that should be a reason to dismiss or fear this type of system. With the increase in technology and knowledge based systems comes uncharted territory but I think it also brings progression we should all embrace.

Caleb Wiles-

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